Super Bowls

With only hours to go to the start of the 2009 Ashes decider, all await the announcement of the Australian team. In the enviable position of having everyone in pretty good form, Ricky Ponting's side will remain unchanged as far as the batting is concerned, but the bowling still appears to be up for grabs.

Ben Hilfenhaus, Mitchell Johnson, and Peter Siddle seem assured of their places; the fight for the final spot is still raging. Stuart Clark will feel justifiably disappointed if he's dropped after his stellar return to Ashes cricket in Leeds, while Nathan Hauritz is confident that spin will be important enough at the Oval to give him a start. And, of course, Brett Lee, the man himself, out himself back into contention in the tour match with a solid bowling performance, but can he break in?

Ben Hilfenhaus: He's been the stand-out bowler for the Aussies all tour; coming into the series, he was unlikely to get his place, but an injury for Brett Lee turned into Gentle Ben's gain. He's been the one Aussie bowler who's consistently taken wickets, bowled economically, and managed to swing the ball from day one. He'll be straight into the attack at the Oval, and there's no question it's the right choice.

Mitchell Johnson: Unlike Hilfenhaus, Johnson was tipped from the start as the spearhead of the attack, and didn't quite get off the runway. When on form, he's the type of bowler who might go for 4.50 an over, but it's well worth it - he'll take plenty of wickets and break a few hands for good measure. We didn't really see any of that until the second innings at Edgbaston, and since then he's got his act together. The over to Paul Collingwood culminating in his wicket in the second innings at Headingley was pure Johnson class. He's back, and he's scary.

(Although, as an Irishman, it was a delight to see Niall O'Brien of Northhants hit him around the place in the tour game.)

Peter Siddle: Siddle came out of Africa, like Johnson, with great reputation. He was economical and accurate. Like Johnson, he started poorly in the UK, spraying it around, bleeding runs, and not taking too many wickets. While he's steadied the ship somewhat, emphsized by a maiden Ashes 5-for in the 4th test, I'd make the controversial call to drop him. There's no way it will happen, because of those five wickets, but his performace in the last game was helped no end by having Stuart Clark building the pressure for him, and in the end he mopped up a pretty shell-shocked tail. Clark does the same job as Siddle (accurate, economical, consistent) only better. Take Siddle out and there's room for Brett Lee, which might be just what Australia need to take back the urn.

Stuart Clark: He played brilliantly at Headingley. However, for Stuart Clark, this means doing his job quietly, keeping the runs down, building pressure, and allowing the other quicks to blast into glory. He went for a few too many to Broad in the last hour or so, but that shouldn't keep him out of the final test. He's taken 29 Ashes wickets at about 15, and did anybody notice the first test he played they won?

With a nervous England batting line-up, Someone like Clark will make them bite their nails a little more, before Mitchell and Brett knock them off.

Nathan Hauritz: Spin may well play a part in the last test. There hasn't been much for Hauritz and Swann so far (obviously not Panesar), but the Aussie spinner will be hoping to get another chance. The negative is that, while he's taken 10 wickets, he's been quite expensive, and if the quicks are on song Ponting and Nielsen will be tempted to leave him out again. Don't forget, Australia have Marcus North, Simon Katich, and Michael Clarke who can take care of a bit of spin when necessary.

Hauritz will unlucky to miss out, as he hasn't done a lot wrong, but surely the selectors won't drop Clark at this stage.

Brett Lee: He's Brett Lee. His injury was a major blow to players and fans alike, and everyone's been waiting impatiently to see him have a go at the Poms. He bowled well in the tour matches in which he's featured, and you feel that a bit of Brett Lee intimidation is just what the Aussies need to attack a wobbling Ian Bell, a tentatively pushing Paul Collingwood, and a total newbie Jonathan Trott. He'll send rip snorters down their throats, and with Mitchell Johnson will remind them what good old-fashioned pace is all about.

Ponting has said he'll play if there's a chance of reverse swing, which doesn't appear to be likely, but if there is he'll knock Stuart Clark out of the team. Lee at one end and Clark at the other could be a finely balance attack for 20 overs, but unless Tim Nielsen reads this and is convinced to drop Siddle, we'll only have one of them, at most.

Going into the series the Australians' bowling was criticized, and there was nothing to change this view for the first two and a half tests. At Headingley, we got a glimpse of what this new-look team could do, particularly when it had a touch of the old about the edges.

The Ashes can only go to the team who takes 20 wickets, and right now, only one side looks like achieving that.

Rain, Rain...Don't Stop The Cricket

We could have it all at Edgbaston. Centuries and five-fors, heroics and disasters, an Aussie resurgence or another bout of England dominance.

What we're probably in for though, is a whole lot of rain and a drawn match.

With a strong history of draws at the venue already, Ricky Ponting isn't getting any better news from the weatherman. There's rain forecast for the next week in Birmingham, and even a hope for an on-schedule start looks optimistic, with groundsmen working through Wednesday night to try and get the pitch dry.

The English won't be too concerned about it, given their position, but the way Andrew Strauss has played since he's become captain you get the feeling he's just really enjoying his cricket.

a 160 in the last match to set up a historic win for his team will certainly leave him feeling good, and tactically speaking - well, whatever people say about his follow-on decisions and declarations, he won the game. A W's a W.

Strauss has told the world that Monty Panesar won't be taking part in the match (one feels Monty might have to settle for his 7 not out in Cardiff as the extent of his Ashes contribution this summer) but is still confident that Andrew Flintoff will be back and ready to play.

Flintoff, who's been sleeping with an ice-pack this last week - never one to avoid controversy - ripped through the Aussies at Lords, and is determined to play out the remainder of the series, even if he never walks again. Backed up by James Anderson and Stuart Broad, the England attack is looking stronger every game.

It's not so simple for Australia. Mitchell Johnson, undoubtedly their best bowler over the last 18 months, has yet to rediscover his form with the ball. A single wicket against Northants last weekend didn't raise anyone's confidence in him at all, but it seems that Australia are going to stand by him, at least until Brett Lee is back on his feet.

Ben Hilfenhaus has bowled beautifully so far, and Peter Siddle has showed guts and determination, but the Aussies need someone else in the pace attack, and hopefully it means that Stuart Clark will get the nod. He bowled well in Northants, taking 4-74 in his 23 overs, and he's the sort of unerringly accurate bowler who could prove a good foil to Hilfenhaus swinging it at the other end.

If Mitch manages to stay in, Nathan Hauritz is favourite to go. He's bowled pretty well on the tour so far, to be fair, but Edgbaston doesn't seem to be the place for spin, particularly if the rain keeps up, and Ponting might be content to rely on his part-timers, Marcus North and Michael Clarke.

That's not to say that North's position isn't under threat as well - Shane Watson and Andrew McDonald both put in strong performances at the weekend, Watson making a couple of quick half centuries and McDonald taking 4 wickets along with a 60 of his own. If they do get a look in, it would probably be Watson, whose batting has looked convincing and who's had a bit more experience. If Hauritz goes, however, North is probably safe and, let's not forget, he had a fantastic unbeaten 125 in Cardiff - he's not in the team for nothing.

Phil Hughes has had a troubled time so far on the tour, and murmurs of Shane Watson partnering Simon Katich at the top of the order might have got him a little twitchy. He did make a 60 at the weekend though, which will probably be enough to keep his place - he's a player with great class, and if he has a little more patience in the first ten overs, we could see him make a really big score.

That seems to be about every possible permutation of the Australian team. Not much needs to be said about Michaels Hussey and Clarke, and no one doubts Ponting's going to hit back hard this match. He's only 25 runs short of beating Allan Border's Australian Test runs record, but you have to feel he'll put a few more on than that.

Brad Haddin is in superb form with the bat, and don't think he'll let those few blips behind the stumps deter him - he's always a fighter.

The biggest change for England is obviously that Ian Bell will be taking Kevin Pietersen's place. Aside from a duck and a 7 in his last outing, he's been scoring very solidly this summer, and he's told the press he's confident of a good game. On the other hand, it's almost cruel how much the Australians are looking forward to playing him. They've figured him out in the past, and if he wants to try and get his place back he'll have to try something new. He's got a history of playing fluently to get to 30 or 40, and then giving away his wicket.

Strauss seems to have been trying to stir up the Aussies in his interviews, suggesting that their "aura" is gone (pretty mystic stuff for a tough lad like him) - you get the feeling that Ponting, Clarke and the boys are just lapping it up - they love a challenge.

The first two tests have been reminders of what a great game Test cricket is, in these days of Twenty20 and Stanford Challenges (oops). England are deservedly 1-0 up in the series, but it would be a huge disappointment to have a rain-forced draw here. With the Aussies riled, and England nervously looking a couple of rungs below them on a tottery ladder they're not used to climbing, we could be in for one hell of a match.

So please don't rain.